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The technical talks between the United States and Iran wrapped up on Tuesday. Iran’s state news agency reported the outcome: four working groups. Sanctions Termination. Nuclear Affairs. Reconstruction and Economic Development. Monitoring and Implementation. That is what 115 days of war produced. Not a peace treaty. Not a disarmament agreement. Not a signed resolution to any of the issues that started the conflict. Four committees, staffed by negotiators most Americans have never heard of, meeting in a Swiss mountain resort, reporting to a High Level Committee that did not exist a week ago. The 60-day clock started on June 17. Eight days have passed. The working groups have not met. The nuclear issue has not been resolved. The enriched uranium is still in the bunkers. And the framework that was supposed to end a war has been converted into the one thing the machine knows how to build better than anything else… a bureaucracy. Nobody voted for these committees. Nobody confirmed the members. And the outcomes they produce will shape American foreign policy, global oil prices, and the future of the Middle East for decades. The war is over, the press says. The committees are just getting started. |
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BREAKING “Totally Open,” the President Said. The Data Shows 25% of Normal. |
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The president said it on Monday from the Oval Office. “The strait is totally open,” he told reporters. “We have an oil gusher.” The data says something different. MarineTraffic reported 71 confirmed transits through the Strait of Hormuz between June 19 and 21, with a peak of 35 crossings on June 20. Before the war, the average was roughly 135 ships per day. That means traffic is running at about 25% of normal. Iran has exported 36 million barrels of crude since June 15, according to TankerTrackers. That is a real increase from zero. But it is not a gusher. It is a trickle through side channels… with every ship required to register with Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority before entering the waterway. War-risk insurance for tankers remains at eight times pre-crisis levels. Eighty mines are still in the central channel. Most major shipping firms have not restored full operations. And the country that controls the transit registration system is the same country the president was bombing four months ago. “Totally open” is the headline. Twenty-five percent of normal is the math. |
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EXPOSED Netanyahu Called Stopping Iran’s Nuclear Program a “Sacred Mission” — the Same Week the Deal Was Signed |
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On Sunday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stood at his brother’s grave and made a promise that cuts directly across the deal signed five days earlier. “As long as I am prime minister, Iran will not acquire nuclear weapons. To this sacred mission I have dedicated my life.” The memorandum does not mention Israel. Israel is not a signatory. It has no seat at the working groups. It was not at the table in Switzerland. But Netanyahu’s promise carries more weight in the region than any of the 14 points in the document. Israel struck more than 150 targets in Lebanon last week. Its defense minister said troops would remain indefinitely. And now the prime minister has called the nuclear issue a “sacred mission”… using language that signals military action if diplomacy fails. The deal gives Iran 60 days to negotiate. Netanyahu just signaled that Israel’s clock runs on a different schedule. And nobody in the working groups has the authority to stop him. |
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DEVELOPING Rubio Flew to the Countries Iran Bombed — to Sell Them on a Deal That Gives Tehran $300 Billion |
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Secretary of State Marco Rubio flew to the Persian Gulf on Tuesday for a three-day tour of the countries Iran bombed during the war. He will visit the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Bahrain — three nations that absorbed Iranian missile and drone strikes over the last four months. His mission: sell them on the deal. The same deal that lifts all sanctions on Iran, gives Tehran immediate oil revenue, channels $100 billion in frozen assets through a Qatari escrow, and commits “regional partners” to a $300 billion reconstruction fund… for the country that attacked them. The Gulf states were not consulted on the memorandum. They were not at the table in Switzerland. And the deal does not include security guarantees, compensation, or reconstruction money for the nations that were hit. The $300 billion goes to Iran. The countries that absorbed the missiles get a visit from the Secretary of State. Rubio will talk about safe transit and the importance of peace and stability. But the question hanging over every meeting is the one no communiqué can answer. Why should the countries that were bombed support a deal that rewards the country that bombed them. |
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They rely on the shadows. |